Girls are entering puberty about a year earlier than they did back in the 1970s, according to global data on breast development.

The age of breast development – which represents the first clinical sign of female puberty – has declined an average three months per decade between 1977 and 2013, according to analysis of data combined from 30 different studies.

Higher risk for obesity

The health implications of this shift are not yet clear, said study co-author Dr Alexander Busch, a growth and reproduction researcher with Rigshospitalet in Copenhagen, Denmark.

“There are not many studies out there concerning the implications of early breast development for women’s lifelong health,” Busch said.

However, Busch noted that early menstrual bleeding – the last clinical sign of puberty for women – is associated with a higher risk of obesity, type 2 diabetes, heart disease and allergies.

For the study, the Danish researchers scoured the medical literature and identified 30 studies that used breast development to track the age of puberty onset.

Pooling the study data together, they found that the age of first breast development had declined steadily over the past four decades.

Average age of early breast development ranged from 10 to 11 in Europe, 10 in the Middle East, 9 to 11 in Asia, 9 to 10 in the United States, and 10 to 13 in Africa, researchers found.

Higher ages-specific BMI

The researchers could not say why this is happening, but they pointed to a few possible contributing factors.

Higher body mass index (BMI) is associated with the onset of menstruation and earlier breast gland development, and so it could play a part, Busch said.

“Fat tissue is an important part of our hormone system, both producing and metabolizing hormones,” he said. “Thereby, a higher age-specific BMI is contributing to early pubertal onset.”

But excess weight alone cannot explain this drastic shift, Busch continued.

Other factors such as endocrine-disrupting chemicals in the environment also might influence the age of puberty, Busch said. Studies have shown that chemicals like DDT and DDE have been associated with earlier puberty.

The findings were published in the journal JAMA Pediatrics.

Potential health risks

While interesting, these findings would have meant more if they’d been combined with other changes that come in puberty, said Dr Robert Rapaport, an endocrinologist and paediatrician with the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai in New York City. He was not part of the study.

These could have included bone growth and first menstruation, Rapaport noted.

“It would be nice if these observations would correlate with other signs of puberty,” he said.

Rapaport agreed that it’s difficult at this time to associate earlier breast development with any potential health risks as these girls grow older, given the lack of research in this area.

“Those are questions that would need to be asked,” Rapaport said.

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